NFL odds Week 14 How to bet Buccaneers-49ers

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The Landon Young Jersey (6-6) play at the (8-4) on Sunday in an battle of division leaders.The 49ers, who are expected to start third stringer at quarterback, lead the all-time series 18-7, winning the last time the teams met (31-17 in 2019).Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Buccaneers-49ers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert pick (odds via ):RELATED: at (4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX)Point spread: (49ers favored to win by more than 3.5 points, otherwise Buccaneers cover)Moneyline:(bet $10 to win $15.49 total); (bet $10 to win $24 total)Total scoring Over/Under:Pick via FOX Sports Betting Analyst :This had the feel of a high level playoff game before broke his foot and was lost for the season. looked fine closing out the game, but that was at home when Miami wasnt ready for his skill set. Tampa Bay carries a much better defense and this is a homecoming for , who is from the Bay Area. The 49ers are on a short week, having played on Monday Night Football, and they do have to travel acro s the country.This is a ma sive coaching mismatch, with Kyle Shanahan going against struggling Todd Bowles. And the 49ers loaded defense should dominate this game at the line of scrimmage, especially if (ankle/knee) cant return.Byron Leftwich has to change his philosophy of first down runs and playing conservative with the greatest QB in NFL history. I would wait for the flat 3 points, and then take the 49ers. Since its not available at the time of writing, Ill go with under 37.5, which is significantly down from the 41.5.PICK: Insights from FOX Sports Gambling Expert :Since joined the team in 2017, San Francisco has averaged 0.07 EPA per snap with him in the game.That ranks second in the NFL.With Garoppolo off Blake Gilikin Jersey of the field over that span, San Francisco is averaging -0.08 EPA per snap.That ranks No. 31 in the NFL.The offense literally has gone from second-best to second-worst without him on the field.There is a reason the 49ers are 38-17 with him and 9-29 without him since 2017.This is a game with two offenses that have played some terrible defenses of late.The 49ers have played just two defenses that rank above average this season:10 points scored vs. the No. 7 in a lo s13 points scored vs. the No. 15 in a winNow they are playing the No. 8 Bucs defense, and doing so without Jimmy G.But on the other side of the ball, the same is true for Bucs.They have played just three games against top-15 defenses this season:18 points scored vs. the No. 13 in a lo s22 points scored vs. the No. 9 in a lo s19 points scored vs. the No. 1 in a winThe key to this game when the Bucs have the ball is coaching and quick throws.The Bucs cannot afford to run the ball on first down as theyve done in the past.The 49ers have the NFLs second-best run defense and the Bucs have the NFLs 30th run offense.And the Bucs have that third-worst run offense despite playing the ninth-easiest schedule of run defenses.The last three run defenses theyve faced were ranked No. 20, 24 and 31.Now theyre playing the second-best run defense in the League.Byron Leftwich MUST refrain from running the ball on early downs.On second and third downs with 8-plus yards to go, Tom Brady ranks No. 31 in YPA and No. 24 in EPA/dropback.They must avoid obvious pa sing downs.Instead, pa s the ball underneath on early downs with Bradys NFL fastest time to throw.On first downs, Brady ranks seventh in EPA/att and eighth in succe s rate.For the 49ers, the key is actually quite similar. With an inexperienced QB like , they must be efficient enough on early downs to avoid obvious pa sing downs.How they choose to balance that against a top-10 pa s and run defense will be a challenge for Kyle Shanahan, but they have to make life as easy as po sible for the inexperienced Purdy.Top stories from FOX Sports:Are you ready to make an NFL bet? If so, head over to for all your wagers.for your chance to win thousands of dollars on the biggest sporting events each and every week! Just make your picks Deonte Harris Jersey and you could win the grand prize.! NFL trending in this topic
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